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Semen Padang vs Persita

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Semen Padang play Persita in the Super League. Persita are favorites here. Recently, Semen Padang averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2 conceded. Persita averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Semen Padang won 3, Persita won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Semen Padang and 1.19 for Persita. This points to a Persita double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Semen Padang
15%
Draws
59%
Persita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Persita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Semen Padang picked up more points recently compared to Persita.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Semen Padang Clean Sheet 20%
Persita Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Semen Padang Persita
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.6 1.17
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Super League
Semen Padang vs Persita
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Super League
Persita vs Semen Padang
2:0
Feb 14, 2025 Super League
Semen Padang vs Persita
2:0
Sep 22, 2024 Super League
Persita vs Semen Padang
1:0
Nov 28, 2018 Championship
Semen Padang vs Persita
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Semen Padang 27 / 100
Persita 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Semen Padang Persita

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Persita & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Semen Padang attacking → ← attacking Persita

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Semen Padang scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Persita let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Semen Padang went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Persita lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 41
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518