Sport Picks
Semen Padang vs Sumsel United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Indonesia
Championship Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim, Padang 
Match Events
24'
24'
Firjatullah M.
44'
44'
Habiby W.
46'
46'
Sub
Spasojevic I. In: Junior
Out: Spasojevic I.
AI Match Summary
The Championship game between Semen Padang and Sumsel United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Semen Padang.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sumsel United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Semen Padang haven't matched Sumsel United's recent run of results.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Sumsel United taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Semen Padang Clean Sheet 10%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Semen Padang | Sumsel United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.76 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 30, 2026 Championship
Semen Padang vs Sumsel United
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Semen Padang Compare
Top Goalscorer Junior
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Sumsel United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Semen Padang 26 / 100
Sumsel United 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Semen Padang Sumsel United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sumsel United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sumsel United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Semen Padang has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Semen Padang found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Semen Padang VS Sumsel United
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Semen Padang
(Home) 30 Oct
Semen Padang
1 : 0 Sumsel United
24 Oct
Persiku Kudus
1 : 2 Semen Padang
17 Oct
Semen Padang
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
11 Oct
Persikad Depok
2 : 1 Semen Padang
04 Oct
Semen Padang
0 : 1 PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Semen Padang
1 : 0 Sumsel United
17 Oct
Semen Padang
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
04 Oct
Semen Padang
0 : 1 PSPS Riau
20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1 PSIS Semarang
15 May
Semen Padang
0 : 7 Persebaya
Page 1 of 3
Sumsel United
(Away) 30 Oct
Semen Padang
1 : 0 Sumsel United
24 Oct
Bekasi City
1 : 1 Sumsel United
18 Oct
Sumsel United
2 : 1 Persikad Depok
10 Oct
Sumsel United
5 : 1 Persiku Kudus
02 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 2 Sumsel United
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Semen Padang
1 : 0 Sumsel United
24 Oct
Bekasi City
1 : 1 Sumsel United
02 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 2 Sumsel United
19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0 Sumsel United
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSPS Riau | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | 19 |
| 2 | PSMS Medan | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Persikad Depok | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | 13 |
| 4 | Semen Padang | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 5 | PSIS Semarang | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Sumsel United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 7 | Persiraja Aceh | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:10 | 9 |
| 8 | Adhyaksa Bekasi | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 9 | PSGC Ciamis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 10 | Persiku Kudus | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6:26 | -1 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persela Lamongan | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:5 | 16 |
| 2 | PS Barito Putera | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | 16 |
| 3 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16:4 | 15 |
| 5 | RANS Nusantara | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | 15 |
| 6 | Persipura Jayapura | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 10 |
| 7 | De Red | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Persis Solo | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 7 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6:18 | -1 |
| 10 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3:41 | -4 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
