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Semily vs Novy Bor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Liberecky KP
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Semily host Novy Bor in the Liberecky KP. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Semily at 1.9 goals for, 1.76 against; Novy Bor at 1.97 for, 2.31 against. Past meetings favor Semily slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2016, ending 5:2. xG projections (1.56 - 1.63) back Semily to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Semily
20%
Draws
51%
Novy Bor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novy Bor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Semily carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Semily Clean Sheet 14%
Novy Bor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Semily Novy Bor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2016 4. liga - Group C
Novy Bor vs Semily
5:2
Sep 19, 2015 4. liga - Group C
Semily vs Novy Bor
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Semily 35 / 100
Novy Bor 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Semily Novy Bor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novy Bor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Semily scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Novy Bor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Semily stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Semily VS Novy Bor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Semily

(Home)
17 Oct
Sedmihorky
5 : 1
Semily
10 Oct
Semily
1 : 2
Straz pod Ralskem
03 Oct
Sluknov
3 : 2
Semily
26 Sept
Semily
3 : 1
Rozstani
19 Sept
Sokol Pencin
1 : 1
Semily
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Novy Bor

(Away)
17 Oct
Novy Bor
1 : 3
Lomnice nad Popelkou
10 Oct
Visnova
1 : 1
Novy Bor
03 Oct
Novy Bor
3 : 2
Zelezny Brod
26 Sept
Jivan Bela
2 : 3
Novy Bor
19 Sept
Novy Bor
0 : 1
Hradek nad Nisou
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