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Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube

Brazil Brazil

Acreano
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Pitel
22' Event
Pitel

AI Match Summary

Independencia Futebol Clube in this Acreano matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independencia Futebol Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Senador Guiomard
6%
Draws
90%
Independencia Futebol Clube
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Senador Guiomard haven't matched Independencia Futebol Clube's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Independencia Futebol Clube a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Acreano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Senador Guiomard Clean Sheet 13%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senador Guiomard Independencia Futebol Clube
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:2
Mar 22, 2025 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Senador Guiomard
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:0
Mar 7, 2023 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senador Guiomard Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Independencia Futebol Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Pitel
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senador Guiomard 10 / 100
Independencia Futebol Clube 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senador Guiomard Independencia Futebol Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senador Guiomard's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Independencia Futebol Clube conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Senador Guiomard stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Senador Guiomard VS Independencia Futebol Clube
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Senador Guiomard

(Home)
07 Mar
Santa Cruz AC
3 : 2
Senador Guiomard
02 Mar
Senador Guiomard
0 : 2
Independencia Futebol Clube
11 Feb
Senador Guiomard
0 : 2
Rio Branco AC
05 Feb
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 2
Senador Guiomard
31 Jan
Senador Guiomard
1 : 1
Galvez
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Independencia Futebol Clube

(Away)
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1
Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Guapore
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4
Independencia Futebol Clube
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1
Galvez
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galvez751115:616
2SC Humaita743015:315
3Santa Cruz AC741215:713
4Rio Branco AC741214:913
5Independencia Futebol Clube72149:117
6Senador Guiomard71247:125
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71154:264
8Vasco da Gama AC712410:15-1
Promotion - Acreano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Acreano 2 2027 (Main)