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Sencur vs Bistrc

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Sencur Logo

Sencur

5 - 1
FT
Bistrc Logo

Bistrc

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sencur in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sencur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sencur
35%
Draws
26%
Bistrc
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sencur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Sencur have won more games recently than Bistrc.
  • Model gives Sencur a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sencur have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Sencur Clean Sheet 68%
Bistrc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sencur Bistrc
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.8 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.32 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Bistrc
5:1
Sep 20, 2025 3. SNL - West
Bistrc vs Sencur
2:4
Mar 22, 2025 3. SNL - West
Bistrc vs Sencur
3:1
Sep 7, 2024 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Bistrc
6:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sencur 95 / 100
Bistrc 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sencur Bistrc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sencur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sencur scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Bistrc's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Sencur has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sencur VS Bistrc
1.5 Goals Scored 1.29
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.14
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Sencur

(Home)
12 Sept
Izola
5 : 2
Sencur
04 Sept
Sencur
0 : 0
Ziri
29 Aug
Skofja Loka
1 : 1
Sencur
22 Aug
Sencur
3 : 3
Tolmin
14 Aug
Sencur
3 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
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Bistrc

(Away)
23 May
Bistrc
3 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
16 May
Skofja Loka
3 : 4
Bistrc
09 May
Bistrc
1 : 3
IB 1975 Ljubljana
02 May
Izola
5 : 0
Bistrc
25 Apr
Bistrc
0 : 3
Vrhnika
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)