Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sencur vs Tolmin

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Sencur Logo

Sencur

2 - 1
FT
Tolmin Logo

Tolmin

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sencur in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sencur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sencur
35%
Draws
37%
Tolmin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tolmin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sencur have won more games recently than Tolmin.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sencur Clean Sheet 13%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sencur Tolmin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.83 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Tolmin
3:3
Mar 23, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Tolmin
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Sencur
0:3
Mar 17, 2023 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Tolmin
0:0
Aug 27, 2022 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Sencur
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sencur 31 / 100
Tolmin 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sencur Tolmin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sencur scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Tolmin conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Sencur remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sencur VS Tolmin
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sencur

(Home)
20 Sept
Sencur
3 : 0
Rudar Trbovlje
12 Sept
Izola
5 : 2
Sencur
04 Sept
Sencur
0 : 0
Ziri
29 Aug
Skofja Loka
1 : 1
Sencur
22 Aug
Sencur
3 : 3
Tolmin
Page 1 of 6

Tolmin

(Away)
19 Sept
Tolmin
0 : 1
Izola
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
29 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
22 Aug
Sencur
3 : 3
Tolmin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)