Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sencur vs Tolmin

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sencur in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sencur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sencur
6%
Draws
90%
Tolmin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tolmin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sencur have won more games recently than Tolmin.
  • Model gives Tolmin a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sencur Clean Sheet 16%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sencur Tolmin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Tolmin
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Sencur
0:3
Mar 17, 2023 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Tolmin
0:0
Aug 27, 2022 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Sencur
3:1
Apr 2, 2022 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Tolmin
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sencur 10 / 100
Tolmin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sencur Tolmin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sencur scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Tolmin let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Sencur remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sencur VS Tolmin
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sencur

(Home)
23 May
Sencur
0 : 3
Izola
16 May
Vrhnika
2 : 3
Sencur
09 May
Sencur
1 : 0
Dob
03 May
Rudar Trbovlje
1 : 2
Sencur
25 Apr
Fama Vipava
1 : 1
Sencur
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Tolmin

(Away)
23 May
Ziri
0 : 3
Tolmin
16 May
Tolmin
0 : 0
Fama Vipava
09 May
Tolmin
3 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
02 May
Skofja Loka
1 : 3
Tolmin
25 Apr
Tolmin
5 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vrhnika26175463:2156
2Sencur26166446:2754
3Dob26155654:2950
4Tolmin26143947:3345
5Izola26126853:3942
6Rudar Trbovlje26118756:3941
7IB 1975 Ljubljana261131235:4436
8Sobec Lesce261061031:3236
9Skofja Loka26791037:4230
10Ziri26761330:5227
11Fama Vipava26681228:4226
12Ljubljana Svoboda26651530:5123
13Zidgrad Idrija26641634:5722
14Bistrc26541735:7119
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)