Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Senegal U17 vs Mali U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 3), Salé
Sun, May 24, 2026
2 - 1
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Faye S.
(Penalty)
28'
Wagner M.
37'
Thior C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Senegal U17
20%
Draws
20%
Mali U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Senegal U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Mali U17 haven't matched Senegal U17's recent run of results.
  • Senegal U17 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Senegal U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Senegal U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Senegal U17 Clean Sheet 16%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal U17 Mali U17
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 20 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.7 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Senegal U17 vs Mali U17
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senegal U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Mali U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Koita D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal U17 48 / 100
Mali U17 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal U17 Mali U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Senegal U17 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Senegal U17's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Mali U17 has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Senegal U17 VS Mali U17
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal U17

(Home)
02 Jun
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Tanzania U17
28 May
Morocco U17
1 : 2
Senegal U17
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
20 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Algeria U17
17 May
Ghana U17
0 : 1
Senegal U17
Page 1 of 6

Mali U17

(Away)
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
20 May
Mali U17
2 : 1
Tanzania U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1
Mali U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0
Angola U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Morocco U17 1
Cameroon U17 0
Senegal U17 2
Mali U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 1
Egypt U17 4
Tanzania U17 4
Algeria U17 3
Semi-finals
Morocco U17 1
Senegal U17 2
Egypt U17 0
Tanzania U17 1
Final
Senegal U17 2
Tanzania U17 1
Morocco U17 0
Egypt U17 2