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Senegal U23 vs Gambia U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Stade Leopold Senghor, Dakar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Senegal U23 in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Senegal U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Senegal U23
15%
Draws
17%
Gambia U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Senegal U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Senegal U23 lately — more wins on the board than Gambia U23.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Senegal U23 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Senegal U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Gambia U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal U23 Gambia U23
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 13 1
Draws 7 0
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.1 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.86 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Friendly International
Senegal U23 vs Gambia U23
2:1
Oct 3, 2026 Friendly International
Senegal U23 vs Gambia U23
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal U23 85 / 100
Gambia U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal U23 Gambia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gambia U23 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Senegal U23 found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Senegal U23 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Senegal U23 VS Gambia U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal U23

(Home)
05 Oct
Senegal U23
2 : 1
Gambia U23
03 Oct
Senegal U23
3 : 1
Gambia U23
28 Mar
Mali U23
3 : 0
Senegal U23
22 Mar
Senegal U23
3 : 1
Mali U23
29 Oct
Senegal U23
1 : 0
Burkina Faso U23
Page 1 of 6

Gambia U23

(Away)
05 Oct
Senegal U23
2 : 1
Gambia U23
03 Oct
Senegal U23
3 : 1
Gambia U23
27 Sept
Gambia U23
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U23
21 Sept
Burkina Faso U23
0 : 1
Gambia U23
08 Oct
Morocco U23
3 : 0
Gambia U23