Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Me Abdoulaye Wade, Diamniadio

Senegal

2 - 0

Burundi

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Sub

Ndayishimiye Y. In: Mossi T.

Out: Ndayishimiye Y.

35'

Diarra H.

Assist: Ndiaye I.

41'

Diarra H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Senegal advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Senegal

15%

Draws

51%

Burundi

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burundi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Senegal come out ahead of Burundi on wins alone.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Senegal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Senegal, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Senegal have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Senegal Clean Sheet 20%

Burundi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Senegal	Burundi
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	18	8
Draws	4	4
Losses	8	15
Goals Scored	2.03	1.07
Goals Conceded	0.93	1.26
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Senegal vs Burundi

2:0

Sep 9, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Burundi vs Senegal

0:1

Jun 4, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations

Burundi vs Senegal

0:2

Jun 13, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations

Senegal vs Burundi

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarra H.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Burundi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal 32 / 100

Burundi 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Senegal Burundi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senegal scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Burundi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Burundi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Senegal VS Burundi

1.75 Goals Scored 1.6

0.75 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 60%

50% Over 2.5 60%

25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal

(Home)

01 Jul

Belgium

3 : 2

Senegal

26 Jun

Senegal

5 : 0

Iraq

23 Jun

Norway

3 : 2

Senegal

16 Jun

France

3 : 1

Senegal

09 Jun

Saudi Arabia

0 : 0

Senegal

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Burundi

(Away)

26 May

Morocco

5 : 0

Burundi

31 Mar

Burundi

4 : 0

Chad

27 Mar

Chad

0 : 4

Burundi

14 Oct

Gabon

2 : 0

Burundi

09 Oct

Burundi

0 : 1

Kenya

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