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Senegal vs Congo Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Senegal in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Senegal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Senegal
30%
Draws
16%
Congo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Senegal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Senegal lately — more wins on the board than Congo.
  • Senegal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Senegal Clean Sheet 20%
Congo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal Congo
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 18 3
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.94 0.64
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 African Nations Championship
Senegal vs Congo
1:1
Jan 9, 2023 Friendly International
Senegal vs Congo
1:0
Nov 14, 2021 World Championship
Senegal vs Congo
2:0
Sep 7, 2021 World Championship
Congo vs Senegal
1:3
Mar 26, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations
Congo vs Senegal
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal 85 / 100
Congo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal Congo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Senegal scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Congo conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Senegal stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Senegal VS Congo
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal

(Home)
29 Sept
Ethiopia
0 : 1
Senegal
25 Sept
Mozambique
1 : 1
Senegal
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2
Senegal
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Congo

(Away)
29 Sept
Congo
1 : 1
Cameroon
24 Sept
Namibia
1 : 0
Congo
14 Oct
Morocco
1 : 0
Congo
08 Oct
Niger
3 : 1
Congo
05 Sept
Congo
1 : 1
Tanzania
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