Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Ibn Batouta, Tanger

Senegal

1 - 1

D.R. Congo

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Gueye P.

61'

Bakambu C.

62'

Sub

Sarr I. In: Mbaye I.

Out: Sarr I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Senegal

20%

Draws

40%

D.R. Congo

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and D.R. Congo come out ahead of Senegal on wins alone.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
D.R. Congo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Senegal, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Senegal Clean Sheet 68%

D.R. Congo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Senegal	D.R. Congo
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	17	18
Draws	4	4
Losses	8	7
Goals Scored	2.1	1.48
Goals Conceded	1	0.72
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 27, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations

Senegal vs D.R. Congo

1:1

Sep 9, 2025 World Championship

D.R. Congo vs Senegal

2:3

Jul 29, 2025 Friendly International

Senegal vs D.R. Congo

0:0

Jun 6, 2024 World Championship

Senegal vs D.R. Congo

1:1

Jan 22, 2023 African Nations Championship

Senegal vs D.R. Congo

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Mane S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

D.R. Congo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakambu C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal 41 / 100

D.R. Congo 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Senegal D.R. Congo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senegal's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: D.R. Congo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

D.R. Congo let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Senegal VS D.R. Congo

1.25 Goals Scored 1

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal

(Home)

01 Jul

Belgium

3 : 2

Senegal

26 Jun

Senegal

5 : 0

Iraq

23 Jun

Norway

3 : 2

Senegal

16 Jun

France

3 : 1

Senegal

09 Jun

Saudi Arabia

0 : 0

Senegal

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D.R. Congo

(Away)

01 Jul

England

2 : 1

D.R. Congo

27 Jun

D.R. Congo

3 : 1

Uzbekistan

24 Jun

Colombia

1 : 0

D.R. Congo

17 Jun

Portugal

1 : 1

D.R. Congo

09 Jun

D.R. Congo

1 : 2

Chile

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