Sport Picks

World

Friendly International 2025

D.R. Congo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Senegal play D.R. Congo in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Senegal averaged 2.1 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. D.R. Congo averaged 1.48 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. In past meetings, Senegal won 2, D.R. Congo won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Dec 27, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Senegal and 1.13 for D.R. Congo. This points to a Senegal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Senegal

28%

Draws

35%

D.R. Congo

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Senegal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Senegal picked up more points recently compared to D.R. Congo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Senegal Clean Sheet 21%

D.R. Congo Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Senegal	D.R. Congo
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	17	18
Draws	4	4
Losses	8	7
Goals Scored	2.1	1.48
Goals Conceded	0.97	0.72
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 27, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations

Senegal vs D.R. Congo

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Sep 9, 2025 World Championship

D.R. Congo vs Senegal

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 0 - 1

2:3

Jul 29, 2025 Friendly International

Senegal vs D.R. Congo

Possession: 41% - 40% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Jun 6, 2024 World Championship

Senegal vs D.R. Congo

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Jan 22, 2023 African Nations Championship

Senegal vs D.R. Congo

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal 38 / 100

D.R. Congo 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Senegal D.R. Congo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Senegal or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Senegal attacking → ← attacking D.R. Congo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senegal scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

D.R. Congo let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Senegal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

D.R. Congo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 58

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75