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Senegal vs D.R. Congo

World World

Friendly International 2025
Tue, Jul 29, 2025
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Senegal host D.R. Congo in the Friendly International 2025. This one's hard to separate. D.R. Congo have shipped 0.72 goals a game lately, while Senegal have conceded 0.97 and scored 2.07. Head-to-head, Senegal have won 2 to D.R. Congo's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Dec 27, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.13, favoring Senegal. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Senegal
20%
Draws
40%
D.R. Congo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Senegal average 2.07 goals a game right now, well clear of D.R. Congo's 1.48.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Senegal Clean Sheet 20%
D.R. Congo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal D.R. Congo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.07 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 27, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations
Senegal vs D.R. Congo
1:1
Sep 9, 2025 World Championship
D.R. Congo vs Senegal
2:3
Jul 29, 2025 Friendly International
Senegal vs D.R. Congo
0:0
Jun 6, 2024 World Championship
Senegal vs D.R. Congo
1:1
Jan 22, 2023 African Nations Championship
Senegal vs D.R. Congo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal 31 / 100
D.R. Congo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal D.R. Congo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senegal found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

D.R. Congo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

D.R. Congo let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Senegal VS D.R. Congo
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal

(Home)
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2
Senegal
16 Jun
France
3 : 1
Senegal
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia
0 : 0
Senegal
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D.R. Congo

(Away)
01 Jul
England
2 : 1
D.R. Congo
27 Jun
D.R. Congo
3 : 1
Uzbekistan
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0
D.R. Congo
17 Jun
Portugal
1 : 1
D.R. Congo
09 Jun
D.R. Congo
1 : 2
Chile
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