Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 BMO Field, Toronto, ON

Senegal

5 - 0

Iraq

Our Tip

Match Events

Diarra H.

Assist: Seck A.

13'

Sulaka R.

16'

Sub

Qasem A. In: Younis M.

Out: Qasem A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Senegal in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Senegal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Senegal

20%

Draws

16%

Iraq

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Senegal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Senegal have won more games recently than Iraq.
64% — that's where the model lands on Senegal taking it.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Senegal Clean Sheet 68%

Iraq Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Senegal	Iraq
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	16	12
Draws	4	6
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	2.07	0.9
Goals Conceded	1	1.28
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 World Championship

Senegal vs Iraq

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye P.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Diarra H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Iraq Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74

Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal 95 / 100

Iraq 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Senegal Iraq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senegal found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Iraq has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Iraq has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Senegal VS Iraq

1.5 Goals Scored 0.63

1 Goals Conceded 2

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal

(Home)

01 Jul

Belgium

3 : 2

Senegal

26 Jun

Senegal

5 : 0

Iraq

23 Jun

Norway

3 : 2

Senegal

16 Jun

France

3 : 1

Senegal

09 Jun

Saudi Arabia

0 : 0

Senegal

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Iraq

(Away)

26 Jun

Senegal

5 : 0

Iraq

22 Jun

France

3 : 0

Iraq

16 Jun

Iraq

1 : 4

Norway

10 Jun

Iraq

0 : 2

Venezuela

04 Jun

Spain

1 : 1

Iraq

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