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Senegal vs Peru

World World

Friendly International Stade de France, Paris - Saint-Denis
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Lopez M.
41' Event
Jackson N.
Assist: Mbaye I.
54' Event
Sarr I.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Senegal and Peru finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Senegal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Senegal
20%
Draws
51%
Peru
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Peru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Peru haven't matched Senegal's recent run of results.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Senegal taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Senegal Clean Sheet 68%
Peru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal Peru
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.07 0.77
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Friendly International
Senegal vs Peru
2:0
Jun 29, 2011 Friendly International
Peru vs Senegal
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Jackson N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarr I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Peru Compare

Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal 50 / 100
Peru 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal Peru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senegal's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Peru's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Senegal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Senegal VS Peru
1.75 Goals Scored 1.33
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal

(Home)
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2
Senegal
16 Jun
France
3 : 1
Senegal
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia
0 : 0
Senegal
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Peru

(Away)
09 Jun
Peru
1 : 3
Spain
06 Jun
Haiti
1 : 2
Peru
31 Mar
Peru
2 : 2
Honduras
28 Mar
Senegal
2 : 0
Peru
21 Dec
Peru
2 : 0
Bolivia
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