Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Senegal W vs Burkina Faso W

World World

Friendly International Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Senegal W play Burkina Faso W in the Friendly International Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Senegal W averaged 1.19 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Burkina Faso W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Senegal W won 2, Burkina Faso W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 16, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Senegal W and 1.13 for Burkina Faso W. This points to a Senegal W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Senegal W
28%
Draws
32%
Burkina Faso W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Senegal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Senegal W picked up more points recently compared to Burkina Faso W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Senegal W Clean Sheet 21%
Burkina Faso W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal W Burkina Faso W
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.19 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Friendly International Women
Senegal W vs Burkina Faso W
3:3
Apr 13, 2026 Friendly International Women
Senegal W vs Burkina Faso W
1:0
Jul 5, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Burkina Faso W vs Senegal W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senegal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Burkina Faso W Compare

Top Goalscorer Congo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Belem A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal W 40 / 100
Burkina Faso W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal W Burkina Faso W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Senegal W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Senegal W attacking → ← attacking Burkina Faso W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senegal W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Burkina Faso W let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Senegal W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Burkina Faso W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 42
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38