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Senegal W vs Tunisia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games Women
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Senegal W have averaged 1.2 scored and 0.89 conceded recently, against Tunisia W's 2.06 scored and 1.47 conceded. Past meetings favor Senegal W slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 2.19, favoring Senegal W. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Senegal W
15%
Draws
39%
Tunisia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Senegal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Senegal W have won more games recently than Tunisia W.
  • Model gives Senegal W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Senegal W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Senegal W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Senegal W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Senegal W Clean Sheet 10%
Tunisia W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal W Tunisia W
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 19 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.2 2.06
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Olympic Games Women
Tunisia W vs Senegal W
0:1
Oct 31, 2023 Friendly International Women
Tunisia W vs Senegal W
2:3
Oct 27, 2023 Friendly International Women
Tunisia W vs Senegal W
0:2
Jul 17, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Senegal W vs Tunisia W
1:0
Jun 27, 2022 Friendly International Women
Tunisia W vs Senegal W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal W 40 / 100
Tunisia W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal W Tunisia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senegal W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Tunisia W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Senegal W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Senegal W VS Tunisia W
0.88 Goals Scored 3.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal W

(Home)
08 Oct
Tunisia W
0 : 1
Senegal W
03 Aug
Senegal W
0 : 0
Morocco W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Algeria W
2 : 0
Senegal W
11 Jul
Egypt W
1 : 0
Senegal W
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Tunisia W

(Away)
08 Oct
Tunisia W
0 : 1
Senegal W
08 Jun
Egypt W
3 : 2
Tunisia W
05 Jun
Egypt W
2 : 1
Tunisia W
16 Apr
Tunisia W
2 : 1
Comoros W
12 Apr
Tunisia W
1 : 0
Benin W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tunisia W -
TBD -
TBD -
Senegal W -
Benin W -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali W -
Congo W -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco W -
Sudan W 0
Comoros W 30
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
Central Africa W -
TBD -
TBD -
Algeria W -
Burkina Faso W -
TBD -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea W -
Rwanda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia W -
Botswana W -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania W -
Angola W -
TBD -
TBD -
Namibia W -
South Sudan W 1
Madagascar W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Seychelles W -
TBD -
TBD -
Kenya W -
Malawi W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zimbabwe W -
Uganda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia W -
Mauritius W 3
Djibouti W 1
TBD -
Ghana W -
1/8-finals
Tunisia W 0
Senegal W 1
Benin W 3
Mali W 1
Congo W -
Morocco W -
Comoros W -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W -
Ivory Coast W -
Central Africa W -
Algeria W -
Burkina Faso W 3
Equatorial Guinea W 1
Rwanda W 0
Ethiopia W 1
Botswana W -
Tanzania W -
Angola W -
Namibia W -
Madagascar W -
South Africa W -
Seychelles W 0
Kenya W 11
Malawi W 0
Zimbabwe W 0
Uganda W 2
Zambia W 1
Mauritius W 0
Ghana W 3
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco W -
TBD -
Cameroon W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -