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Senglea vs Zejtun

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Vella K.
32' Event
Perdomo S.
57'
Fenech K.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2023/2024 game between Senglea and Zejtun finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Senglea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Senglea
30%
Draws
47%
Zejtun
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zejtun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zejtun come out ahead of Senglea on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Senglea Clean Sheet 15%
Zejtun Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senglea Zejtun
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.81 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2023 Challenge League
Senglea vs Zejtun
2:0
Jan 23, 2021 Premier League
Zejtun vs Senglea
3:1
Sep 25, 2020 Premier League
Senglea vs Zejtun
1:1
Aug 25, 2020 Club Friendly
Senglea vs Zejtun
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senglea Compare

Top Goalscorer Vella K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perdomo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Zejtun Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senglea 35 / 100
Zejtun 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senglea Zejtun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zejtun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zejtun let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Zejtun has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Senglea scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Senglea VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Senglea

(Home)
12 Apr
Sirens
2 : 1
Senglea
06 Apr
Senglea
1 : 1
Lija
30 Mar
Senglea
1 : 2
Zebbug
12 Mar
Valletta
1 : 0
Senglea
09 Mar
Fgura
2 : 0
Senglea
Page 1 of 7

Zejtun

(Away)
28 Apr
Zebbug
1 : 0
Zejtun
21 Apr
Zejtun
0 : 1
Swieqi
14 Apr
Fgura
1 : 1
Zejtun
05 Apr
Lija
1 : 0
Zejtun
17 Mar
Zejtun
1 : 1
Luqa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zabbar 15 10 3 2 21:9 33
2 Melita 15 9 4 2 32:21 31
3 Senglea 15 8 5 2 20:9 29
4 Marsa 15 8 4 3 32:17 28
5 Pieta 15 8 3 4 23:13 27
6 Zurrieq 15 8 3 4 18:17 27
7 Fgura 15 8 2 5 32:25 26
8 Lija 15 6 4 5 26:24 22
9 Swieqi 15 5 6 4 18:16 21
10 Tarxien 15 3 8 4 16:14 17
11 Zejtun 15 4 5 6 17:18 17
12 Luqa 15 4 4 7 21:24 16
13 St. Andrews 15 3 2 10 14:28 11
14 Zebbug 15 2 4 9 11:27 10
15 Attard 15 1 5 9 14:33 8
16 Msida 15 2 0 13 9:29 6
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)