Sport Picks

South Korea

K League 2 2025 Tancheon Stadium

Seongnam

2 - 1

Busan

Our Tip

Match Events

Choi Gi-Yun

Assist: Kim Hee-Seung

10'

Kim Jeong-Hwan

Assist: Lee Jeong-Bin

18'

Sub

Ha Jung-woo In: Leandro Ribeiro

Out: Ha Jung-woo

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Seongnam in this K League 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Seongnam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Seongnam

22%

Draws

60%

Busan

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Busan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Busan have won more games recently than Seongnam.
Busan are the model's pick here, at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Seongnam Clean Sheet 13%

Busan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Seongnam	Busan
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	13	14
Draws	11	8
Losses	7	6
Goals Scored	0.75	2.38
Goals Conceded	1	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 K League 2

Busan vs Seongnam

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Nov 23, 2025 K League 2

Seongnam vs Busan

Possession: 41% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Jul 12, 2025 K League 2

Busan vs Seongnam

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

May 24, 2025 K League 2

Seongnam vs Busan

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Sep 1, 2024 K League 2

Busan vs Seongnam

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seongnam Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Jeong-Hwan

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Choi Gi-Yun

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seongnam 19 / 100

Busan 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Seongnam Busan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seongnam's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Busan conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Seongnam stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Seongnam VS Busan

0.75 Goals Scored 2.38

1 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Incheon	39	23	9	7	66:30	78
2	Suwon Bluewings	39	20	12	7	76:50	72
3	Bucheon FC 1995	39	19	10	10	59:49	67
4	Seoul E-Land	39	17	14	8	64:43	65
5	Seongnam	39	17	13	9	46:32	64
6	Jeonnam	39	17	11	11	63:52	62
7	Gimpo FC	39	14	13	12	48:37	55
8	Busan	39	14	13	12	47:46	55
9	Chungnam Asan	39	13	14	12	51:47	53
10	Hwaseong	39	9	13	17	36:50	40
11	Gyeongnam	39	11	7	21	34:58	40
12	Cheongju	39	7	10	22	30:62	31
13	Cheonan City	39	7	9	23	41:70	30
14	Ansan Greeners	39	5	12	22	25:60	27