Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Seongnam vs Cheongju

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Tancheon Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Seongnam play Cheongju in the K League 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Seongnam averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. Cheongju averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. In past meetings, Seongnam won 2, Cheongju won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 8, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Seongnam and 1.00 for Cheongju. This points to a Seongnam double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Seongnam
35%
Draws
16%
Cheongju
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Seongnam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Seongnam picked up more points recently compared to Cheongju.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Seongnam Clean Sheet 23%
Cheongju Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seongnam Cheongju
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 2
Draws 11 14
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.17 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 K League 2
Seongnam vs Cheongju
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 K League 2
Cheongju vs Seongnam
0:1
Jun 14, 2025 K League 2
Cheongju vs Seongnam
0:1
Mar 3, 2025 K League 2
Seongnam vs Cheongju
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 K League 2
Cheongju vs Seongnam
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seongnam Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Sang-Min
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yun Min-Ho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Cheongju Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seongnam 49 / 100
Cheongju 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seongnam Cheongju

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Seongnam or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Seongnam attacking → ← attacking Cheongju

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seongnam scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Cheongju let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Seongnam went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cheongju lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 20
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Busan15103233:2033
2Suwon Bluewings15102321:1232
3Seoul E-Land1692528:1929
4Daegu1584332:2028
5Suwon FC1575329:2126
6Hwaseong1574422:1725
7Gimpo FC1566319:1624
8Chungnam Asan1565423:1823
9Cheonan City1547419:1819
10Gyeongnam1554619:2419
11Seongnam1538414:1517
12Yongin FC1537519:2216
13Paju Frontier1542915:2114
14Cheongju15110418:2613
15Ansan Greeners15321015:2811
16Jeonnam1516818:269
17Gimhae15131112:336