Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Seongnam vs Hwaseong

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Tancheon Stadium, Seongnam
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ilyuchenko S.
Assist: Jegal Jae-Min
11' Event
You Ju-An
15'
Lim C.

AI Match Summary

The K League 2 game between Seongnam and Hwaseong finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Seongnam
35%
Draws
32%
Hwaseong
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hwaseong come out ahead of Seongnam on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Seongnam Clean Sheet 14%
Hwaseong Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seongnam Hwaseong
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 K League 2
Seongnam vs Hwaseong
2:2
Apr 4, 2026 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Seongnam
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 K League 2
Seongnam vs Hwaseong
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Seongnam
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 K League 2
Seongnam vs Hwaseong
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seongnam Compare

Top Goalscorer You Ju-An
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elionay
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Hwaseong Compare

Top Goalscorer Ilyuchenko S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee Rae-Jun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seongnam 31 / 100
Hwaseong 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seongnam Hwaseong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Seongnam scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Hwaseong conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Seongnam stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Seongnam VS Hwaseong
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Seongnam

(Home)
20 Sept
Seongnam
2 : 2
Hwaseong
13 Sept
Gyeongnam
1 : 0
Seongnam
06 Sept
Gimpo FC
1 : 2
Seongnam
29 Aug
Seongnam
1 : 1
Seoul E-Land
22 Aug
Ansan Greeners
1 : 2
Seongnam
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Hwaseong

(Away)
20 Sept
Seongnam
2 : 2
Hwaseong
12 Sept
Ansan Greeners
0 : 2
Hwaseong
05 Sept
Cheonan City
1 : 1
Hwaseong
29 Aug
Hwaseong
2 : 1
Cheongju
23 Aug
Jeonnam
1 : 0
Hwaseong
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 25 13 9 3 50:29 48
3 Seoul E-Land 26 14 6 6 45:30 48
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 26 12 8 6 41:27 44
6 Busan 26 12 5 9 41:34 41
7 Gimpo FC 25 8 11 6 31:30 35
8 Chungnam Asan 25 9 7 9 34:31 34
9 Gyeongnam 25 8 10 7 31:30 34
10 Seongnam 25 7 10 8 28:30 31
11 Cheongju 26 5 14 7 31:41 29
12 Paju Frontier 25 8 5 12 24:28 29
13 Yongin FC 25 5 12 8 31:35 27
14 Cheonan City 26 4 11 11 30:37 23
15 Ansan Greeners 26 6 4 16 27:49 22
16 Jeonnam 25 4 9 12 28:43 21
17 Gimhae 25 2 7 16 19:49 13
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
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