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Seoul Jungnang vs Geoje

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Seoul Jungnang play Geoje in the K4 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Seoul Jungnang averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. Geoje averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Seoul Jungnang won 0, Geoje won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Seoul Jungnang and 1.69 for Geoje. This points to a Geoje double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Seoul Jungnang
15%
Draws
50%
Geoje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Geoje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Seoul Jungnang picked up more points recently compared to Geoje.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Seoul Jungnang Clean Sheet 13%
Geoje Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seoul Jungnang Geoje
Matches Played 23 24
Wins 8 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.7 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 K4 League
Seoul Jungnang vs Geoje
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seoul Jungnang 34 / 100
Geoje 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seoul Jungnang Geoje

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Geoje or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Seoul Jungnang attacking → ← attacking Geoje

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seoul Jungnang scored in 70% of their last 23 games.

Geoje let in goals in 75% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Seoul Jungnang went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Geoje lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 36
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1594230:1131
3Geumsan Insam1566325:1724
4Jecheon Citizen1566316:1724
5Seoul Jungnang1564524:1922
6Namyangju1555518:1920
7Pyeongchang United1562719:2120
8Sejong SA1462619:2320
9Geoje1453626:2118
10Gijang United1552819:2617
11Haman1542915:2614
12Pyeongtaek Citizen15231016:329
13Seosan Pioneer14301115:369