Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
07:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Seoul host Gimcheon Sangmu in the K League 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Seoul at 1.73 goals for, 0.87 against; Gimcheon Sangmu at 1.03 for, 1.23 against. Head-to-head, Seoul have won 1 to Gimcheon Sangmu's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 0.75) point toward Seoul. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Seoul
30%
Draws
35%
Gimcheon Sangmu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Seoul have won more games recently than Gimcheon Sangmu.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Seoul taking it.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Seoul Clean Sheet 20%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seoul Gimcheon Sangmu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 5 16
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.73 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Seoul
0:0
May 2, 2026 K League 1
Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu
2:3
Nov 22, 2025 K League 1
Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:3
Aug 17, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Seoul
6:2
May 28, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Seoul
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seoul 40 / 100
Gimcheon Sangmu 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seoul Gimcheon Sangmu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seoul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Seoul found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Gimcheon Sangmu has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Seoul went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Seoul VS Gimcheon Sangmu
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Seoul

(Home)
20 Sept
Pohang
2 : 1
Seoul
16 Sept
Seoul
0 : 1
Persib Bandung
12 Sept
Jeonbuk
1 : 2
Seoul
08 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 0
Seoul
05 Sept
Seoul
1 : 0
Incheon
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Gimcheon Sangmu

(Away)
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2
Gimcheon Sangmu
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gangwon
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
29 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 30 10 13 7 36:28 43
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Incheon 30 10 9 11 36:33 39
9 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)