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Seoul vs Incheon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul
Seoul Logo

Seoul

0 - 1
FT
Incheon Logo

Incheon

Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Klimala P.
46'
Sub
Jeong Hyeon-Woo In: Moon Seon-Min
Out: Jeong Hyeon-Woo
46'
Sub
Lee Sang-Min In: Lee Han-Do
Out: Lee Sang-Min
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Seoul and Incheon finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Incheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Seoul
35%
Draws
38%
Incheon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Incheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Seoul come out ahead of Incheon on wins alone.
  • 27% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Seoul here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Seoul Clean Sheet 68%
Incheon Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seoul Incheon
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.77 1.24
Goals Conceded 1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 K League 1
Seoul vs Incheon
0:1
Sep 5, 2026 K League 1
Seoul vs Incheon
1:0
Jul 5, 2026 K League 1
Seoul vs Incheon
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Seoul
1:2
Jul 27, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Seoul
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seoul Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Incheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerso
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seoul 41 / 100
Incheon 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seoul Incheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seoul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seoul scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Incheon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Seoul stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Seoul VS Incheon
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Seoul

(Home)
04 Nov
Seoul
3 : 0
Viettel
01 Nov
Seoul
0 : 1
Incheon
28 Oct
Viettel
0 : 5
Seoul
24 Oct
Seoul
1 : 1
Gangwon
18 Oct
Seoul
2 : 2
Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 7

Incheon

(Away)
01 Nov
Seoul
0 : 1
Incheon
24 Oct
Incheon
3 : 1
Jeju SK
18 Oct
Gangwon
1 : 1
Incheon
09 Oct
Incheon
3 : 0
Pohang
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0
Incheon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 34 20 7 7 61:30 67
2 Ulsan Hyundai 34 16 6 12 54:48 54
3 Daejeon 34 13 11 10 53:41 50
4 Incheon 34 13 10 11 44:35 49
5 Jeonbuk 34 12 13 9 43:33 49
6 Gangwon 34 11 15 8 41:32 48
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)