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Seoul vs Incheon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul
Seoul Logo

Seoul

1 - 0
FT
Incheon Logo

Incheon

Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Kim Gun-Hee
11'
Sub
Lee Dong-Ryul In: Park Kyung-sub
Out: Lee Dong-Ryul
46'
Sub
Jeong Chi-In In: Gerso
Out: Jeong Chi-In
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Seoul in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Seoul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Seoul
35%
Draws
39%
Incheon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Incheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Seoul have won more games recently than Incheon.
  • Incheon are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Seoul have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Seoul Clean Sheet 19%
Incheon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seoul Incheon
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 K League 1
Seoul vs Incheon
1:0
Jul 5, 2026 K League 1
Seoul vs Incheon
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Seoul
1:2
Jul 27, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Seoul
0:1
May 11, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Seoul
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seoul 28 / 100
Incheon 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seoul Incheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Incheon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seoul scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Incheon has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Seoul remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Seoul VS Incheon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Seoul

(Home)
18 Oct
Seoul
2 : 2
Gimcheon Sangmu
14 Oct
Melbourne Victory
3 : 0
Seoul
10 Oct
Seoul
2 : 1
Jeju SK
20 Sept
Pohang
2 : 1
Seoul
16 Sept
Seoul
0 : 1
Persib Bandung
Page 1 of 6

Incheon

(Away)
18 Oct
Gangwon
1 : 1
Incheon
09 Oct
Incheon
3 : 0
Pohang
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0
Incheon
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1
Daejeon
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Incheon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 32 20 6 6 60:28 66
2 Ulsan Hyundai 32 15 5 12 50:45 50
3 Jeonbuk 32 12 11 9 42:32 47
4 Gangwon 32 11 14 7 39:29 47
5 Daejeon 32 12 10 10 51:40 46
6 Jeju SK 32 12 10 10 38:34 46
7 Incheon 32 11 10 11 40:34 43
8 Anyang 32 10 12 10 39:47 42
9 Pohang 32 11 8 13 28:37 41
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 32 5 19 8 32:39 34
11 Bucheon FC 1995 32 7 11 14 32:44 32
12 Gwangju FC 32 2 12 18 27:69 18
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)