Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Seoul vs Incheon

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Seoul World Cup Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ruiz L. In: Song Min-Kyu
Out: Ruiz L.
46'
Sub
Lee Myoung-Joo In: Undabarrena I.
Out: Lee Myoung-Joo
51'
Song Min-Kyu

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Seoul and Incheon finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Seoul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Seoul
44%
Draws
20%
Incheon
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Seoul carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Seoul here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Seoul Clean Sheet 22%
Incheon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seoul Incheon
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 K League 1
Seoul vs Incheon
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Seoul
1:2
Jul 27, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Seoul
0:1
May 11, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Seoul
1:2
Mar 10, 2024 K League 1
Seoul vs Incheon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seoul Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeong Seung-Won
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Incheon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seoul 37 / 100
Incheon 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seoul Incheon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seoul scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Incheon let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Seoul went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Seoul VS Incheon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul17113328:1236
2Jeonbuk1785425:1529
3Gangwon1777321:1128
4Pohang1784518:1428
5Ulsan Hyundai1783624:2427
6Anyang1758422:1923
7Incheon1763821:1921
8Jeju SK1755714:1720
9Bucheon FC 19951747614:1819
10Daejeon1746719:1818
11Gimcheon Sangmu17210517:2316
12Gwangju FC1715118:418