Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Seoul vs Jeju SK

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Seoul host Jeju SK in the K League 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Seoul have averaged 1.73 scored and 0.87 conceded recently, against Jeju SK's 1.3 scored and 1.07 conceded. Past meetings favor Jeju SK slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.06, favoring Seoul. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Seoul
20%
Draws
52%
Jeju SK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jeju SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Seoul carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Seoul a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jeju SK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Seoul Clean Sheet 20%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seoul Jeju SK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.73 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Seoul
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Seoul
1:2
Jul 23, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Seoul
3:2
May 31, 2025 K League 1
Seoul vs Jeju SK
1:3
Feb 15, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Seoul
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seoul 36 / 100
Jeju SK 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seoul Jeju SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Seoul found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Jeju SK let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Seoul has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Seoul VS Jeju SK
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Seoul

(Home)
20 Sept
Pohang
2 : 1
Seoul
16 Sept
Seoul
0 : 1
Persib Bandung
12 Sept
Jeonbuk
1 : 2
Seoul
08 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 0
Seoul
05 Sept
Seoul
1 : 0
Incheon
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Jeju SK

(Away)
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
12 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
2 : 2
Jeju SK
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
05 Sept
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
30 Aug
Jeju SK
3 : 1
Daejeon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 29 10 12 7 36:28 42
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
9 Incheon 29 10 8 11 36:33 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)