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Sepahan vs Fajr Sepasi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium, Isfahan
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Yousefi A.
Assist: Noorafkan O.
16'
Nasiri M.
38' Event
Hajsafi E.
Assist: Hajieydi A.

AI Match Summary

Sepahan in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sepahan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sepahan
30%
Draws
23%
Fajr Sepasi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sepahan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sepahan lately — more wins on the board than Fajr Sepasi.
  • Win probability leans Sepahan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sepahan have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sepahan Clean Sheet 68%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 23%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sepahan Fajr Sepasi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Fajr Sepasi
6:1
Dec 5, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Fajr Sepasi
2:0
Mar 6, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Fajr Sepasi
2:0
Nov 24, 2021 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Sepahan
0:2
Dec 24, 2013 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Fajr Sepasi
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sepahan Compare

Top Goalscorer Yousefi A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hajsafi E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Fajr Sepasi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rostami Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sepahan 95 / 100
Fajr Sepasi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sepahan Fajr Sepasi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sepahan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sepahan scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Fajr Sepasi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Sepahan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sepahan VS Fajr Sepasi
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sepahan

(Home)
08 Oct
Sepahan
6 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
06 Sept
Sepahan
1 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
02 Sept
Sanat Naft
0 : 0
Sepahan
28 Aug
Sepahan
2 : 0
Gol Gohar
23 Aug
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 0
Sepahan
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Fajr Sepasi

(Away)
08 Oct
Sepahan
6 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Fajr Sepasi
0 : 0
Zob Ahan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
2 Persepolis 7 5 1 1 15:4 16
3 Esteghlal TEH 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
4 Sepahan 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 Aluminium Arak 7 3 4 0 9:4 13
6 Gol Gohar 8 4 1 3 10:7 13
7 Foolad 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
8 Mazandaran 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
9 Chadormalu 8 2 3 3 6:11 9
10 Paykan 7 2 2 3 5:6 8
11 Malavan 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
12 Kheybar Khorramabad 7 1 4 2 10:10 7
13 Zob Ahan 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
14 Fajr Sepasi 7 1 4 2 4:9 7
15 Esteghlal Khuzestan 8 1 3 4 4:12 6
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 7 1 2 4 6:9 5
17 Mes Shahr Babak 8 0 5 3 6:12 5
18 Sanat Naft 8 0 4 4 3:11 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)