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Sepahan vs Shahr Khodrou

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2021/2022 Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sepahan play Shahr Khodrou in the Persian Gulf Pro League 2021/2022. Sepahan are favorites here. Recently, Sepahan averaged 1.24 goals scored and 0.66 conceded. Shahr Khodrou averaged 0.72 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. In past meetings, Sepahan won 4, Shahr Khodrou won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 19, 2022 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Sepahan and 0.81 for Shahr Khodrou. This points to a Sepahan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Sepahan
20%
Draws
17%
Shahr Khodrou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sepahan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Sepahan picked up more points recently compared to Shahr Khodrou.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Sepahan Clean Sheet 26%
Shahr Khodrou Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sepahan Shahr Khodrou
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 16 3
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.24 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.44

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Shahr Khodrou
3:0
Jan 3, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shahr Khodrou vs Sepahan
0:2
Jul 20, 2021 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shahr Khodrou vs Sepahan
0:1
Jan 30, 2021 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Shahr Khodrou
1:3
Aug 15, 2020 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Shahr Khodrou
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sepahan Compare

Top Goalscorer Esmaeilifar D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jahani M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Shahr Khodrou Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sepahan 62 / 100
Shahr Khodrou 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sepahan Shahr Khodrou

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sepahan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sepahan & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sepahan attacking → ← attacking Shahr Khodrou

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sepahan scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Shahr Khodrou let in goals in 84% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sepahan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Shahr Khodrou lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 18
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Esteghlal TEH301911039:1068
2Persepolis30189344:2163
3Sepahan30168643:2156
4Gol Gohar301312537:2851
5Foolad301310730:2249
6Mes Rafsanjan30129939:2945
7Aluminium Arak30716720:2337
8Zob Ahan301071321:2537
9Paykan30715826:2736
10Sanat Naft30991226:3036
11Havadar SC308101218:2534
12Mazandaran30615924:3433
13Tractor307101326:3231
14Naft Masjed-Soleyman303131414:3522
15Fajr Sepasi302111710:2917
16Shahr Khodrou302111717:4317