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Septemvri Simitli vs Granit Vladaya

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2024/2025 National Stadium Vasil Levski
Sat, May 24, 2025
4 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Simitli play Granit Vladaya in the Third League - South-West 2024/2025. Septemvri Simitli are favorites here. Recently, Septemvri Simitli averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded. Granit Vladaya averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Septemvri Simitli won 3, Granit Vladaya won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 24, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Septemvri Simitli and 1.00 for Granit Vladaya. This points to a Septemvri Simitli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Septemvri Simitli
6%
Draws
4%
Granit Vladaya
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Septemvri Simitli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Septemvri Simitli has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Granit Vladaya.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Septemvri Simitli.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - South-West 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 20%
Granit Vladaya Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Simitli Granit Vladaya
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 2
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Granit Vladaya
4:0
Nov 9, 2024 Third League - South-West
Granit Vladaya vs Septemvri Simitli
1:2
Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Septemvri Simitli vs Granit Vladaya
3:2
Nov 6, 2022 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Granit Vladaya
0:0
Aug 20, 2022 Third League - South-West
Granit Vladaya vs Septemvri Simitli
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Simitli 85 / 100
Granit Vladaya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Simitli Granit Vladaya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Simitli scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Granit Vladaya let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Septemvri Simitli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Granit Vladaya lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Simitli VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vihren36265581:3483
2Kyustendil36244898:4676
3Oborishte Panagyurishte361910763:3367
4Rilski Sportist361881068:5162
5Bansko3615111045:3156
6Balkan Botevgrad361591260:5654
7Pirin Razlog361581357:4753
8Septemvri Simitli361651547:4653
9Bistritsa361571452:5152
10Septemvri Sofia 2361571446:4852
11Levski Sofia II361461639:4348
12Gotse Delchev3612111343:5747
13CSKA Sofia III3611131250:5146
14Botev Ihtiman3611121340:4745
15Slivnishki Geroy3610121444:4542
16Slavia Sofia 2369111641:5838
17CSKA 1948 Sofia III36792045:7030
18Pirin Blagoevgrad 2365102132:6425
19Granit Vladaya36282634:10711