Sport Picks
Septemvri Simitli vs Kostinbrod
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West National Stadium Vasil Levski 
AI Match Summary
Septemvri Simitli play Kostinbrod in the Third League - South-West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Septemvri Simitli averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1 conceded. Kostinbrod averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Septemvri Simitli won 2, Kostinbrod won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Septemvri Simitli and 0.94 for Kostinbrod. This points to a Septemvri Simitli double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Septemvri Simitli has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kostinbrod.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Septemvri Simitli.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - South-West provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Kostinbrod |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Septemvri Simitli scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Kostinbrod let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Septemvri Simitli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Kostinbrod lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |