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Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026 National Stadium Vasil Levski
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Septemvri Simitli and Kyustendil finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Simitli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Septemvri Simitli
6%
Draws
4%
Kyustendil
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Septemvri Simitli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kyustendil haven't matched Septemvri Simitli's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Septemvri Simitli's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 20%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Simitli Kyustendil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Septemvri Simitli
1:0
Jun 4, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil
3:1
Nov 23, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Septemvri Simitli
3:0
Mar 16, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Septemvri Simitli
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Simitli 85 / 100
Kyustendil 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Simitli Kyustendil

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Septemvri Simitli scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Kyustendil conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Septemvri Simitli has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Simitli VS Kyustendil
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238