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Septemvri Simitli vs Levski Lom Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2021/2022 National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Sat, May 7, 2022
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Simitli host Levski Lom in the Vtora liga 2021/2022. Septemvri Simitli go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Septemvri Simitli at 1.35 goals for, 1.16 against; Levski Lom at 0.34 for, 2.17 against. Past meetings favor Septemvri Simitli slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 7, 2022, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 0.94) point toward Septemvri Simitli. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Septemvri Simitli
20%
Draws
0%
Levski Lom
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Septemvri Simitli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Septemvri Simitli have won more games recently than Levski Lom.
  • Septemvri Simitli are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 20%
Levski Lom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Simitli Levski Lom
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 1
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 1.35 0.34
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 Vtora liga
Septemvri Simitli vs Levski Lom
3:0
Nov 7, 2021 Vtora liga
Levski Lom vs Septemvri Simitli
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Simitli 85 / 100
Levski Lom 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Simitli Levski Lom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Simitli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levski Lom has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Levski Lom registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Septemvri Simitli found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Simitli VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Simitli

(Home)
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
29 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 3
Natsional Sofia
Page 1 of 7

Levski Lom

(Away)
21 May
Minyor Pernik
3 : 0
Levski Lom
14 May
Levski Lom
0 : 3
Yantra Gabrovo
07 May
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 0
Levski Lom
04 May
Levski Lom
0 : 3
Hebar
30 Apr
Ludogorets II
3 : 0
Levski Lom
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Septemvri Sofia 36 21 7 8 77:35 70
2 Hebar 36 22 4 10 54:33 70
3 Spartak Varna 36 21 7 8 64:39 70
4 Etar 36 21 5 10 69:42 68
5 Minyor Pernik 36 18 9 9 50:35 63
6 Ludogorets II 36 18 7 11 70:48 61
7 Montana 36 15 13 8 39:31 58
8 Strumska Slava 36 15 9 12 40:37 54
9 Maritsa Plovdiv 36 14 8 14 51:48 50
10 Svoge 36 13 9 14 38:46 48
11 Dobrudzha 36 11 12 13 39:45 45
12 CSKA 1948 Sofia II 36 12 9 15 53:50 45
13 FC Lovech 36 12 9 15 41:42 45
14 Yantra Gabrovo 36 10 10 16 30:46 40
15 Sozopol 36 9 12 15 40:56 39
16 Botev II 36 8 14 14 34:47 38
17 Marek 36 8 12 16 29:46 36
18 Septemvri Simitli 36 8 9 19 41:68 33
19 Levski Lom 36 1 5 30 12:77 8
20 Neftochimic Burgas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Parva liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Parva liga 2021/2022 (Relegation)