Sport Picks
Septemvri Simitli vs Pirin Razlog Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Septemvri Simitli and Pirin Razlog finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pirin Razlog.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pirin Razlog
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Septemvri Simitli come out ahead of Pirin Razlog on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Septemvri Simitli's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 16%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Pirin Razlog |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Simitli
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Pirin Razlog
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Simitli
6:0
Mar 22, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Pirin Razlog
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Simitli
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Septemvri Simitli 36 / 100
Pirin Razlog 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Septemvri Simitli Pirin Razlog
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Septemvri Simitli scored in 75% of their last 32 games.
Defensive concern: Pirin Razlog conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Septemvri Simitli has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Septemvri Simitli VS Pirin Razlog
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Simitli
(Home) 03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3 Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3 Oborishte Panagyurishte
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
29 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 3 Natsional Sofia
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
Page 1 of 3
Pirin Razlog
(Away) 03 Oct
Pirin Razlog
1 : 2 Levski Sofia II
26 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
5 : 0 Pirin Razlog
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
5 : 0 Pirin Razlog
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Pirin Razlog
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0 Pirin Razlog
15 Aug
Bansko
3 : 1 Pirin Razlog
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2 Pirin Razlog
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
