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Septemvri Simitli vs Septemvri Sofia 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Simitli host Septemvri Sofia 2 in the Third League - South-West. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Septemvri Simitli at 1.43 goals for, 1.17 against; Septemvri Sofia 2 at 1.71 for, 0.82 against. Head-to-head, Septemvri Simitli have won 3 to Septemvri Sofia 2's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.50, favoring Septemvri Sofia 2. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Septemvri Simitli
30%
Draws
35%
Septemvri Sofia 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Septemvri Sofia 2 have won more games recently than Septemvri Simitli.
  • Septemvri Simitli are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 16%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Simitli Septemvri Sofia 2
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.43 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Septemvri Simitli
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:0
Apr 30, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Septemvri Simitli
0:2
Oct 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Septemvri Sofia 2
3:0
Mar 2, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Septemvri Simitli
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Simitli 39 / 100
Septemvri Sofia 2 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Simitli Septemvri Sofia 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Simitli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Simitli scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Septemvri Simitli has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Septemvri Sofia 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Septemvri Sofia 2 let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Simitli VS Septemvri Sofia 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Simitli

(Home)
31 Oct
Levski Sofia II
2 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
28 Oct
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 1
Slavia Sofia 2
24 Oct
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
10 Oct
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
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Septemvri Sofia 2

(Away)
24 Oct
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Bansko
18 Oct
Minyor Pernik
3 : 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
10 Oct
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 1
Pirin Razlog
07 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 2
Septemvri Sofia 2
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
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