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Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Simitli host Slavia Sofia 2 in the Third League - South-West. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Septemvri Simitli at 1.42 goals for, 1.16 against; Slavia Sofia 2 at 1.93 for, 1.17 against. Head-to-head, Septemvri Simitli have won 2 to Slavia Sofia 2's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 22, 2025, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.50 - 2.00) back Slavia Sofia 2 to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Septemvri Simitli
15%
Draws
59%
Slavia Sofia 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Slavia Sofia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Slavia Sofia 2 lately — more wins on the board than Septemvri Simitli.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 10%
Slavia Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Simitli Slavia Sofia 2
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.42 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slavia Sofia 2 vs Septemvri Simitli
3:1
Aug 2, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia 2
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slavia Sofia 2 vs Septemvri Simitli
2:2
Sep 4, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia 2
1:0
May 8, 2024 Third League - South-West
Slavia Sofia 2 vs Septemvri Simitli
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Simitli 34 / 100
Slavia Sofia 2 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Simitli Slavia Sofia 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slavia Sofia 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Simitli found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Slavia Sofia 2 has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Septemvri Simitli has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Simitli VS Slavia Sofia 2
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Simitli

(Home)
10 Oct
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
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Slavia Sofia 2

(Away)
18 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 2
Slavia Sofia 2
07 Oct
Minyor Pernik
5 : 1
Slavia Sofia 2
26 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
5 : 0
Pirin Razlog
19 Sept
Natsional Sofia
2 : 0
Slavia Sofia 2
12 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
4 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
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