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Septemvri Sofia 2 vs CSKA 1948 Sofia III Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2024/2025 game between Septemvri Sofia 2 and CSKA 1948 Sofia III finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Sofia 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Septemvri Sofia 2
15%
Draws
34%
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Septemvri Sofia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Septemvri Sofia 2 come out ahead of CSKA 1948 Sofia III on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Septemvri Sofia 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 20%
CSKA 1948 Sofia III Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia 2 CSKA 1948 Sofia III
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.66 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs CSKA 1948 Sofia III
5:1
Dec 1, 2024 Third League - South-West
CSKA 1948 Sofia III vs Septemvri Sofia 2
0:2
Jun 1, 2024 Third League - South-West
CSKA 1948 Sofia III vs Septemvri Sofia 2
2:0
Jan 27, 2024 Club Friendly
CSKA 1948 Sofia III vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:0
Nov 18, 2023 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs CSKA 1948 Sofia III
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 2 85 / 100
CSKA 1948 Sofia III 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia 2 CSKA 1948 Sofia III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Sofia 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA 1948 Sofia III's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Septemvri Sofia 2's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: CSKA 1948 Sofia III has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia 2 VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Sofia 2

(Home)
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
22 Aug
Belasitsa Petrich
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia 2
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CSKA 1948 Sofia III

(Away)
04 Jun
Septemvri Sofia 2
5 : 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
31 May
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
2 : 4
Levski Sofia II
25 May
Pirin Blagoevgrad 2
1 : 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
17 May
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
2 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
14 May
CSKA Sofia III
3 : 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 36 26 5 5 81:34 83
2 Kyustendil 36 24 4 8 98:46 76
3 Oborishte Panagyurishte 36 19 10 7 63:33 67
4 Rilski Sportist 36 18 8 10 68:51 62
5 Bansko 36 15 11 10 45:31 56
6 Balkan Botevgrad 36 15 9 12 60:56 54
7 Pirin Razlog 36 15 8 13 57:47 53
8 Septemvri Simitli 36 16 5 15 47:46 53
9 Bistritsa 36 15 7 14 52:51 52
10 Septemvri Sofia 2 36 15 7 14 46:48 52
11 Levski Sofia II 36 14 6 16 39:43 48
12 Gotse Delchev 36 12 11 13 43:57 47
13 CSKA Sofia III 36 11 13 12 50:51 46
14 Botev Ihtiman 36 11 12 13 40:47 45
15 Slivnishki Geroy 36 10 12 14 44:45 42
16 Slavia Sofia 2 36 9 11 16 41:58 38
17 CSKA 1948 Sofia III 36 7 9 20 45:70 30
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 2 36 5 10 21 32:64 25
19 Granit Vladaya 36 2 8 26 34:107 11
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