Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Kyustendil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Sofia 2 host Kyustendil in the Third League - South-West. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Kyustendil have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Septemvri Sofia 2 have conceded 0.81 and scored 1.74. Head-to-head, Septemvri Sofia 2 have won 0 to Kyustendil's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.81, favoring Septemvri Sofia 2. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Septemvri Sofia 2
20%
Draws
46%
Kyustendil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kyustendil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Kyustendil haven't matched Septemvri Sofia 2's recent run of results.
  • Kyustendil are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia 2 Kyustendil
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.74 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Septemvri Sofia 2
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Kyustendil
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:1
Aug 14, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Kyustendil
1:2
Mar 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Septemvri Sofia 2
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 2 28 / 100
Kyustendil 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia 2 Kyustendil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyustendil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Sofia 2 scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Kyustendil conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Septemvri Sofia 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia 2 VS Kyustendil
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Sofia 2

(Home)
24 Oct
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Bansko
18 Oct
Minyor Pernik
3 : 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
10 Oct
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 1
Pirin Razlog
07 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 2
Septemvri Sofia 2
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
Page 1 of 6

Kyustendil

(Away)
04 Nov
Kyustendil
1 : 2
Strumska Slava
31 Oct
Slavia Sofia 2
0 : 2
Kyustendil
28 Oct
Kyustendil
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
24 Oct
Kyustendil
0 : 0
Belasitsa Petrich
07 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
2 : 2
Kyustendil
Page 1 of 6