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Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Oborishte Panagyurishte

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Septemvri Sofia 2 and Oborishte Panagyurishte finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Sofia 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Septemvri Sofia 2
22%
Draws
18%
Oborishte Panagyurishte
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Septemvri Sofia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Oborishte Panagyurishte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Septemvri Sofia 2's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Oborishte Panagyurishte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia 2 Oborishte Panagyurishte
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Septemvri Sofia 2
2:0
Mar 12, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
3:2
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 2 58 / 100
Oborishte Panagyurishte 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia 2 Oborishte Panagyurishte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Septemvri Sofia 2 scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Oborishte Panagyurishte let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Septemvri Sofia 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia 2 VS Oborishte Panagyurishte
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238