Sport Picks
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Septemvri Sofia 2 and Oborishte Panagyurishte finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Sofia 2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oborishte Panagyurishte
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Oborishte Panagyurishte carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Oborishte Panagyurishte Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Sofia 2 | Oborishte Panagyurishte |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Septemvri Sofia 2
2:0
Mar 12, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
3:2
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Septemvri Sofia 2 31 / 100
Oborishte Panagyurishte 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Septemvri Sofia 2 Oborishte Panagyurishte
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oborishte Panagyurishte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Septemvri Sofia 2 scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Oborishte Panagyurishte let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Septemvri Sofia 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Septemvri Sofia 2 VS Oborishte Panagyurishte
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Sofia 2
(Home) 29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
22 Aug
Belasitsa Petrich
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia 2
15 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 1 Septemvri Sofia 2
08 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 0 Slavia Sofia 2
02 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2 Septemvri Sofia 2
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
08 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 0 Slavia Sofia 2
23 May
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 0 Septemvri Simitli
09 May
Septemvri Sofia 2
5 : 1 Slavia Sofia 2
25 Apr
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0 Oborishte Panagyurishte
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Oborishte Panagyurishte
(Away) 29 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
0 : 0 Minyor Pernik
22 Aug
Pirin Razlog
2 : 4 Oborishte Panagyurishte
15 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 1 Natsional Sofia
08 Aug
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 1 Oborishte Panagyurishte
01 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
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22 Aug
Pirin Razlog
2 : 4 Oborishte Panagyurishte
08 Aug
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 1 Oborishte Panagyurishte
23 May
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 1 Oborishte Panagyurishte
09 May
Kyustendil
2 : 1 Oborishte Panagyurishte
25 Apr
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0 Oborishte Panagyurishte
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
