Sport Picks
Septemvri Sofia vs Arda
Bulgaria
efbet League National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia 
Match Events
17'
17'
Karagaren B.
24'
24'
Sub
Georgiev P. In: Ivanov G.
Out: Georgiev P.
34'
34'
Baurenski Y.
AI Match Summary
The efbet League game between Septemvri Sofia and Arda finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arda come out ahead of Septemvri Sofia on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Septemvri Sofia's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 16%
Arda Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Sofia | Arda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Arda
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Arda
1:4
Oct 20, 2025 efbet League
Arda vs Septemvri Sofia
0:1
Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Arda vs Septemvri Sofia
1:2
Apr 7, 2025 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Arda
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Septemvri Sofia Compare
Top Goalscorer Wade S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Arda Compare
Top Goalscorer Karagaren B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Septemvri Sofia 36 / 100
Arda 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Septemvri Sofia Arda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Septemvri Sofia's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Arda conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Septemvri Sofia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Septemvri Sofia VS Arda
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Sofia
(Home) 14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3 Botev Vratsa
28 Aug
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0 CSKA 1948 Sofia
17 Aug
Spartak Varna
0 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3 Botev Vratsa
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0 CSKA 1948 Sofia
09 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3 CSKA Sofia
18 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 1 Arda
07 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 1 Hebar
Page 1 of 4
Arda
(Away) 12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1 Arda
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3 Botev Plovdiv
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0 Botev Vratsa
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1 Arda
17 Aug
Arda
3 : 1 Lok. Sofia
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1 Arda
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1 Arda
08 Aug
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2 Arda
31 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1 Arda
18 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 1 Arda
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 5 | Arda | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Plovdiv | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Cherno More | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 13 | Lok. Sofia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10:18 | 4 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | 4 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
