Sport Picks
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
Bulgaria
efbet League National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia 
Match Events
26'
26'
Salido Tajero A.
29'
29'
Ferreira P.
33'
33'
Mendes V.
AI Match Summary
Botev Plovdiv in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botev Plovdiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Plovdiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Botev Plovdiv have won more games recently than Septemvri Sofia.
- 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Botev Plovdiv have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 15%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Sofia | Botev Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
0:3
Mar 3, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
1:3
Apr 12, 2025 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia
3:0
Nov 4, 2024 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Septemvri Sofia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Botev Plovdiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Kalu S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Salido Tajero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Septemvri Sofia 31 / 100
Botev Plovdiv 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Septemvri Sofia Botev Plovdiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Botev Plovdiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Septemvri Sofia scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Botev Plovdiv let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Septemvri Sofia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Septemvri Sofia VS Botev Plovdiv
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Sofia
(Home) 19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3 Botev Plovdiv
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3 Botev Vratsa
28 Aug
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0 CSKA 1948 Sofia
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3 Botev Plovdiv
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3 Botev Vratsa
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0 CSKA 1948 Sofia
09 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3 CSKA Sofia
18 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 1 Arda
Page 1 of 4
Botev Plovdiv
(Away) 19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3 Botev Plovdiv
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3 Botev Plovdiv
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3 Levski Sofia
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0 Botev Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3 Botev Plovdiv
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3 Botev Plovdiv
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0 Botev Plovdiv
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0 Botev Plovdiv
27 Jul
CSKA Sofia
3 : 2 Botev Plovdiv
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 12 | Lok. Plovdiv | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:13 | 7 |
| 13 | Cherno More | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | 5 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
