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Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Ozornwafor V.
28'
Goranov I.
41' Event
Smolenski M.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League game between Septemvri Sofia and Botev Vratsa finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Vratsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Septemvri Sofia
15%
Draws
85%
Botev Vratsa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Vratsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Botev Vratsa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 20%
Botev Vratsa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia Botev Vratsa
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
2:3
May 10, 2026 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia
1:1
Apr 6, 2026 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia
2:1
May 2, 2025 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Septemvri Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Igor
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ivanov G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Botev Vratsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Gigov F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Smolenski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 36 / 100
Botev Vratsa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia Botev Vratsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Vratsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Sofia's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Botev Vratsa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Botev Vratsa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia VS Botev Vratsa
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Sofia

(Home)
17 Oct
Gorna
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
11 Oct
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 6

Botev Vratsa

(Away)
18 Oct
Fratria
1 : 2
Botev Vratsa
14 Oct
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
10 Oct
Botev Vratsa
0 : 1
Spartak Varna
03 Oct
Slavia Sofia
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 10 9 1 0 23:4 28
2 CSKA Sofia 11 8 3 0 27:9 27
3 Ludogorets 10 8 2 0 21:7 26
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 11 7 1 3 21:13 22
5 Botev Plovdiv 11 6 1 4 17:14 19
6 Arda 11 5 2 4 15:17 17
7 Spartak Varna 11 3 4 4 11:15 13
8 Slavia Sofia 11 2 5 4 9:9 11
9 Botev Vratsa 11 2 3 6 9:20 9
10 Dunav Ruse 11 2 2 7 13:21 8
11 Lok. Plovdiv 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
12 Lok. Sofia 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
13 Septemvri Sofia 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Cherno More 11 1 3 7 11:22 6
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