Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Cuellar H.
37'
Penchev B.
45'
Ivanov G.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League game between Septemvri Sofia and CSKA 1948 Sofia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Septemvri Sofia
15%
Draws
48%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSKA 1948 Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA 1948 Sofia come out ahead of Septemvri Sofia on wins alone.
  • CSKA 1948 Sofia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CSKA 1948 Sofia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 15%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:0
Dec 3, 2025 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:4
Aug 1, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
2:1
May 11, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
2:0
Dec 3, 2024 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Septemvri Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Herard F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

CSKA 1948 Sofia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 15 / 100
CSKA 1948 Sofia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA 1948 Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Sofia scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

CSKA 1948 Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Septemvri Sofia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia VS CSKA 1948 Sofia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Sofia

(Home)
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
28 Aug
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
17 Aug
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
09 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia
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CSKA 1948 Sofia

(Away)
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
14 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
4 : 1
Cherno More
11 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
1 : 2
Panathinaikos
08 Aug
Lok. Sofia
1 : 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 7 7 0 0 20:4 21
2 Ludogorets 7 5 2 0 12:5 17
3 CSKA Sofia 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
5 Arda 8 5 1 2 13:7 16
6 Botev Plovdiv 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
7 Septemvri Sofia 8 2 2 4 7:13 8
8 Spartak Varna 7 2 2 3 9:13 8
9 Slavia Sofia 7 1 4 2 7:6 7
10 Botev Vratsa 8 2 1 5 7:17 7
11 Cherno More 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
12 Dunav Ruse 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
13 Lok. Sofia 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
14 Lok. Plovdiv 7 1 0 6 3:10 3
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)