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Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Cuellar H.
37'
Penchev B.
45'
Ivanov G.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League game between Septemvri Sofia and CSKA 1948 Sofia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Septemvri Sofia
15%
Draws
85%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSKA 1948 Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA 1948 Sofia come out ahead of Septemvri Sofia on wins alone.
  • CSKA 1948 Sofia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CSKA 1948 Sofia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 15%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.11 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:0
Dec 3, 2025 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:4
Aug 1, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
2:1
May 11, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
2:0
Dec 3, 2024 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Septemvri Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Herard F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CSKA 1948 Sofia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 10 / 100
CSKA 1948 Sofia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA 1948 Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Sofia scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

CSKA 1948 Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: CSKA 1948 Sofia registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia VS CSKA 1948 Sofia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Sofia

(Home)
17 Oct
Gorna
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
11 Oct
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
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CSKA 1948 Sofia

(Away)
16 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
0 : 4
CSKA 1948 Sofia
11 Oct
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 3
CSKA Sofia
18 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 10 9 1 0 23:4 28
2 CSKA Sofia 11 8 3 0 27:9 27
3 Ludogorets 10 8 2 0 21:7 26
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 11 7 1 3 21:13 22
5 Botev Plovdiv 11 6 1 4 17:14 19
6 Arda 11 5 2 4 15:17 17
7 Spartak Varna 11 3 4 4 11:15 13
8 Slavia Sofia 11 2 5 4 9:9 11
9 Botev Vratsa 11 2 3 6 9:20 9
10 Dunav Ruse 11 2 2 7 13:21 8
11 Lok. Plovdiv 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
12 Lok. Sofia 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
13 Septemvri Sofia 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Cherno More 11 1 3 7 11:22 6
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