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Septemvri Sofia vs Lok. Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Sofia host Lok. Sofia in the efbet League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Septemvri Sofia have averaged 1.11 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Lok. Sofia's 1.44 scored and 1.56 conceded. Past meetings favor Septemvri Sofia slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.50) point toward Septemvri Sofia. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Septemvri Sofia
15%
Draws
85%
Lok. Sofia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lok. Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Septemvri Sofia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lok. Sofia a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 16%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia Lok. Sofia
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
1:1
Mar 17, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
3:0
Aug 29, 2025 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Lok. Sofia
1:0
May 20, 2025 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Lok. Sofia
0:2
Dec 8, 2024 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 11 / 100
Lok. Sofia 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia Lok. Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Septemvri Sofia's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Lok. Sofia registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia VS Lok. Sofia
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Sofia

(Home)
17 Oct
Gorna
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
11 Oct
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 6

Lok. Sofia

(Away)
17 Oct
Vihren
1 : 2
Lok. Sofia
10 Oct
Lok. Sofia
1 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv
03 Oct
Lok. Sofia
4 : 1
Radnicki Nis
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 10 9 1 0 23:4 28
2 CSKA Sofia 11 8 3 0 27:9 27
3 Ludogorets 10 8 2 0 21:7 26
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 11 7 1 3 21:13 22
5 Botev Plovdiv 11 6 1 4 17:14 19
6 Arda 11 5 2 4 15:17 17
7 Spartak Varna 11 3 4 4 11:15 13
8 Slavia Sofia 11 2 5 4 9:9 11
9 Botev Vratsa 11 2 3 6 9:20 9
10 Dunav Ruse 11 2 2 7 13:21 8
11 Lok. Plovdiv 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
12 Lok. Sofia 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
13 Septemvri Sofia 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Cherno More 11 1 3 7 11:22 6
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)