Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Septemvri Sofia vs Pernik

Bulgaria Bulgaria

A PFG 1998/1999
Septemvri Sofia Logo

Septemvri Sofia

3 - 1
FT
Pernik Logo

Pernik

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Sofia in this A PFG 1998/1999 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Septemvri Sofia
30%
Draws
47%
Pernik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pernik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Septemvri Sofia lately — more wins on the board than Pernik.
  • Model gives Septemvri Sofia a 23% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 20%
Pernik Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia Pernik
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 1999 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Pernik
3:1
Dec 5, 1998 efbet League
Pernik vs Septemvri Sofia
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 67 / 100
Pernik 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia Pernik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Septemvri Sofia scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Pernik let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Pernik registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Sofia

(Home)
09 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia
01 Aug
Levski Sofia
3 : 0
Septemvri Sofia
26 Jul
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
18 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 1
Arda
10 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Septemvri Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Pernik

(Away)
12 Oct
Pernik
1 : 8
Hebar
06 Sept
Pernik
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
27 May
Pernik
2 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
19 May
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 1
Pernik
13 May
Pernik
0 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Lovech 30 24 4 2 83:25 73
2 Levski Sofia 30 23 5 2 55:11 71
3 Velbazhd 29 18 3 8 57:29 57
4 Lok. Sofia 30 17 4 9 46:30 55
5 CSKA Sofia 29 15 5 9 54:39 50
6 Neftochimic Burgas 30 15 4 11 52:38 49
7 Slavia Sofia 30 11 8 11 47:36 41
8 Minyor Pernik 30 11 7 12 44:46 40
9 Dobrudzha 30 11 3 16 45:55 36
10 Pernik 30 11 2 17 33:46 35
11 Spartak Varna 30 10 4 16 39:50 34
12 Pirin Blagoevgrad 30 10 4 16 35:58 34
13 Shumen 2010 30 8 8 14 36:56 32
14 Botev Plovdiv 30 9 5 16 34:55 32
15 Septemvri Sofia 30 4 5 21 34:73 17
16 Lok. Plovdiv 30 4 5 21 26:73 17
Promotion - Champions League 1999/2000 (Qualification)
Promotion - UEFA Cup 1999/2000 (Main)
Promotion - Intertoto Cup 1999 (Main)
Promotion - UEFA Cup 1999/2000 (Main)