Sport Picks
Septemvri Tervel vs Cherno More II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 
AI Match Summary
Septemvri Tervel host Cherno More II in the Third League - North-East. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Septemvri Tervel have averaged 2.27 scored and 0.73 conceded recently, against Cherno More II's 1.97 scored and 1.28 conceded. Past meetings favor Septemvri Tervel slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.38, favoring Septemvri Tervel. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Septemvri Tervel lately — more wins on the board than Cherno More II.
- Model gives Septemvri Tervel a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Septemvri Tervel have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Tervel | Cherno More II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.27 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.73 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Septemvri Tervel scored in 77% of their last 26 games.
Cherno More II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Septemvri Tervel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Tervel
(Home)Cherno More II
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Volov Shumen | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:11 | 19 |
| 4 | Chernolomets | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Balchik | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 13 |
| 7 | Septemvri Tervel | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Devnya 2005 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Cherno More II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:19 | 11 |
| 11 | FK Riltzi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Botev Novi Pazar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 13 | Olympic Varna | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Fratria II | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:26 | 9 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 19:30 | 7 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5:23 | 0 |
