Sport Picks
Septemvri Tervel vs Chernolomets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chernolomets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Chernolomets at 2.52 per game, Septemvri Tervel at 2.27.
- Chernolomets are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 13%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Tervel | Chernolomets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.27 | 2.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.73 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 17, 2026 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Chernolomets
0:0
Apr 22, 2026 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Chernolomets
0:4
Oct 18, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Septemvri Tervel
3:0
Mar 15, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Septemvri Tervel
1:1
Sep 6, 2024 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Chernolomets
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Septemvri Tervel 10 / 100
Chernolomets 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Septemvri Tervel Chernolomets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Septemvri Tervel found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Septemvri Tervel went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Chernolomets conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Septemvri Tervel VS Chernolomets
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Tervel
(Home) 17 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 0 Chernolomets
10 Oct
Ludogorets III
3 : 0 Septemvri Tervel
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0 Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1 Fratria II
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 0 Chernolomets
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0 Septemvri Dragoevo
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1 Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2 Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1 Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 3
Chernolomets
(Away) 17 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 0 Chernolomets
10 Oct
Chernolomets
5 : 1 Benkovski
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0 FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1 Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0 Botev Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 0 Chernolomets
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1 Chernolomets
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3 Chernolomets
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1 Chernolomets
24 May
Ludogorets III
3 : 1 Chernolomets
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25:5 | 25 |
| 2 | Volov Shumen | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Septemvri Tervel | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 7 | Benkovski | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Botev Novi Pazar | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Devnya 2005 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Cherno More II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 12 | FK Riltzi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:20 | 10 |
| 13 | Olympic Varna | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Fratria II | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:26 | 9 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 19:30 | 7 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5:24 | 0 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)
