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Septemvri Tervel vs Chernomorets Byala Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

Septemvri Tervel in this Third League - North-East 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Tervel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Septemvri Tervel
20%
Draws
0%
Chernomorets Byala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Septemvri Tervel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Septemvri Tervel have won more games recently than Chernomorets Byala.
  • Septemvri Tervel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 20%
Chernomorets Byala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Tervel Chernomorets Byala
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 21 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 4 21
Goals Scored 2.59 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.72 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2015 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Chernomorets Byala
3:1
Nov 15, 2014 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Byala vs Septemvri Tervel
2:0
Mar 16, 2014 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Chernomorets Byala
1:0
Sep 1, 2013 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Byala vs Septemvri Tervel
1:0
May 19, 2013 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Chernomorets Byala
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Tervel 85 / 100
Chernomorets Byala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Tervel Chernomorets Byala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Tervel scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Chernomorets Byala conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Septemvri Tervel stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Chernomorets Byala lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Tervel VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Tervel

(Home)
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1
Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1
Volov Shumen
24 May
Septemvri Tervel
4 : 1
Spartak Varna II
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Chernomorets Byala

(Away)
24 May
Chernomorets Byala
0 : 3
FK Ticha
20 May
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 1
Chernomorets Byala
16 May
Chernomorets Byala
0 : 1
Suvorovo
12 May
Dve Mogili
3 : 0
Chernomorets Byala
10 May
Svetkavitsa
4 : 1
Chernomorets Byala
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