Sport Picks
Septemvri Tervel vs Fratria II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 
AI Match Summary
Septemvri Tervel in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Tervel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Septemvri Tervel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Septemvri Tervel lately — more wins on the board than Fratria II.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Septemvri Tervel taking it.
- Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Septemvri Tervel here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 20%
Fratria II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Tervel | Fratria II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.59 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.74 | 2.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Fratria II
2:1
May 9, 2026 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Septemvri Tervel
0:4
Nov 8, 2025 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Fratria II
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Septemvri Tervel
0:5
Oct 19, 2024 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Fratria II
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Septemvri Tervel 85 / 100
Fratria II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Septemvri Tervel Fratria II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Septemvri Tervel scored in 81% of their last 27 games.
Fratria II has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Septemvri Tervel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Septemvri Tervel VS Fratria II
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 4.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Tervel
(Home) 10 Oct
Ludogorets III
3 : 0 Septemvri Tervel
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0 Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1 Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2 Devnya 2005
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0 Septemvri Dragoevo
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1 Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2 Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1 Volov Shumen
24 May
Septemvri Tervel
4 : 1 Spartak Varna II
Page 1 of 3
Fratria II
(Away) 03 Oct
Dorostol
1 : 2 Fratria II
26 Sept
Fratria II
1 : 0 Devnya 2005
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1 Fratria II
12 Sept
Fratria II
2 : 1 Benkovski
05 Sept
Volov Shumen
9 : 0 Fratria II
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Dorostol
1 : 2 Fratria II
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1 Fratria II
05 Sept
Volov Shumen
9 : 0 Fratria II
26 Aug
Svetkavitsa 2014
4 : 0 Fratria II
24 May
Aksakovo
3 : 1 Fratria II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Chernolomets | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 17 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Cherno More II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Septemvri Tervel | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Benkovski | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Devnya 2005 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:14 | 10 |
| 10 | FK Riltzi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Botev Novi Pazar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Olympic Varna | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 13 | Fratria II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17:29 | 4 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | 1 |
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