Sport Picks
Septemvri Tervel vs Marek Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Bulgarian Cup 2025/2026 
Match Events
35'
35'
Yordanov V.
45'
45'
Dzhadzharov H.
56'
56'
Dzhadzharov H.
AI Match Summary
Marek in this Bulgarian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Septemvri Tervel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Septemvri Tervel lately — more wins on the board than Marek.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Septemvri Tervel taking it.
- Septemvri Tervel have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Marek, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 20%
Marek Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Tervel | Marek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 20 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.67 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.67 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.34 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 12, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Septemvri Tervel vs Marek
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Septemvri Tervel Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.67
Marek Compare
Top Goalscorer Dzhadzharov H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Yordanov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Septemvri Tervel 85 / 100
Marek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Septemvri Tervel Marek
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Septemvri Tervel's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Septemvri Tervel has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Marek let in goals in 48% of their last 27 matches.
Scoring Trends
Septemvri Tervel VS Marek
1.8 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
80% Over 1.5 38%
40% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Tervel
(Home) 26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1 Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2 Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1 Volov Shumen
24 May
Septemvri Tervel
4 : 1 Spartak Varna II
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1 Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2 Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1 Volov Shumen
24 May
Septemvri Tervel
4 : 1 Spartak Varna II
20 May
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 1 Ludogorets III
Page 1 of 3
Marek
(Away) 26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0 Marek
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3 Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0 Marek
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0 Nesebar
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0 Marek
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0 Marek
29 Aug
Svoge
0 : 0 Marek
16 Aug
Montana
1 : 0 Marek
07 Aug
Etar
1 : 0 Marek
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Etar 1
TBD -
Dobrudzha -
Zagorets -
TBD -
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Partizan Cerven Brjag 0
Minyor Pernik 2
TBD -
Cherno More -
Germaneya 0
Fratria 4
TBD -
Arda -
Benkovski 0
Dunav Ruse 4
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Septemvri Tervel 0
Marek 3
TBD -
Montana -
Yambol 1915 2
Vihren 1
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
OFC Haskovo 0
Spartak Pleven 4
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Svoge 4
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
FC Lovech 0
Chernomorets 1919 5
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Pernik 1
Hebar 8
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Bistritsa 2
Gorna 1
TBD -
Beroe -
Chernolomets 2
Sevlievo 4
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Rilski Sportist 2
Belasitsa Petrich 1
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Kom Berkovitsa 0
Yantra Gabrovo 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
1/16-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Dobrudzha 7
Zagorets 1
Botev Vratsa 4
Minyor Pernik 0
Cherno More 3
Fratria 1
Arda 2
Dunav Ruse 1
Lok. Plovdiv 2
Marek 1
Montana 4
Yambol 1915 1
Spartak Varna 3
Spartak Pleven 0
Botev Plovdiv 4
Svoge 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
Chernomorets 1919 2
Ludogorets 3
Hebar 0
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 1
Beroe 0
Sevlievo 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Rilski Sportist 2
Lok. Sofia 3
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Slavia Sofia 2
Yantra Gabrovo 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 4
1/8-finals
Dobrudzha 0
Botev Vratsa 1
Cherno More 0
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 4
Montana 0
Spartak Varna 0
Botev Plovdiv 2
Septemvri Sofia 1
Ludogorets 3
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 0
CSKA Sofia 2
Lok. Sofia 1
Slavia Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 3
Quarter-finals
Botev Vratsa 2
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 1
Botev Plovdiv 0
Ludogorets 1
Levski Sofia 0
CSKA Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 0
Semi-finals
Arda 1
Lok. Plovdiv 5
Ludogorets 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Final
Lok. Plovdiv 1
CSKA Sofia 2
