Sport Picks
Septemvri Tervel vs Shumen 1929 Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
Septemvri Tervel in this Third League - North-East 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Tervel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Septemvri Tervel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Septemvri Tervel have won more games recently than Shumen 1929.
- Septemvri Tervel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Septemvri Tervel have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 20%
Shumen 1929 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Tervel | Shumen 1929 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 46 | 36 |
| Wins | 32 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.43 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.72 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.85 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 22, 2016 Third League - North-East
Shumen 1929 vs Septemvri Tervel
0:0
Nov 7, 2015 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Shumen 1929
2:0
Mar 29, 2015 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Shumen 1929
2:1
Sep 14, 2014 Third League - North-East
Shumen 1929 vs Septemvri Tervel
0:1
May 31, 2014 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Shumen 1929
6:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Septemvri Tervel 85 / 100
Shumen 1929 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Septemvri Tervel Shumen 1929
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Septemvri Tervel found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (46 games).
Septemvri Tervel went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Shumen 1929's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 36 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Septemvri Tervel VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Tervel
(Home) 03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0 Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1 Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2 Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1 Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 10
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0 Septemvri Dragoevo
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1 Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2 Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1 Volov Shumen
24 May
Septemvri Tervel
4 : 1 Spartak Varna II
Page 1 of 5
Shumen 1929
(Away) 22 May
Shumen 1929
0 : 0 Septemvri Tervel
15 May
Inter Plachidol
3 : 2 Shumen 1929
07 May
Shumen 1929
1 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
29 Apr
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0 Shumen 1929
23 Apr
Shumen 1929
3 : 0 Dve Mogili
Page 1 of 8
15 May
Inter Plachidol
3 : 2 Shumen 1929
29 Apr
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0 Shumen 1929
16 Apr
Benkovski Byala
1 : 0 Shumen 1929
02 Apr
Svetkavitsa
0 : 1 Shumen 1929
26 Mar
Himik Devnya
4 : 2 Shumen 1929
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunav Ruse | 30 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 121:11 | 85 |
| 2 | Chernomorets Balchik | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 85:14 | 76 |
| 3 | Kaliakra | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 93:21 | 72 |
| 4 | Suvorovo | 30 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 47:38 | 59 |
| 5 | FK Ticha | 30 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 59:38 | 53 |
| 6 | Benkovski Byala | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 46:39 | 49 |
| 7 | Septemvri Tervel | 30 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 43:46 | 46 |
| 8 | Kubrat | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 48:45 | 45 |
| 9 | Svetkavitsa | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 42:44 | 45 |
| 10 | Botev Novi Pazar | 30 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 45:61 | 38 |
| 11 | Belitsa | 30 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 39:58 | 34 |
| 12 | Shumen 1929 | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 13 | Dve Mogili | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 19:53 | 22 |
| 14 | Chernomorets Byala | 30 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 25:68 | 21 |
| 15 | Provadia | 30 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 30:109 | 13 |
| 16 | Dorostol | 30 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 12:98 | 8 |
Promotion - B PFG 2015/2016 (Main)
